Commit Graph
2667 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 7dfd65cb00 arena: CORRECTION -- lane outage was a stale router OAuth token, not plan exhaustion (user dashboard evidence)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-15 20:34:42 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 ee68667b26 arena: primary Claude v35 MiniWoB = 90.5% (v35 picker fix recovers choose-date; net-flat vs v22, +1.5 vs v34-buggy); residual >=95 cluster named
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-15 17:13:01 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 00172966ae arena: GPT-5.4 cross-model MiniWoB = 86.1% (same harness, ~3pt of Claude; harness-generality claim measured directly)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-15 13:34:39 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 597931725c arena: book Claude-sub-exhausted -> GPT-5.4 cross-model column decision
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-15 11:30:14 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 5d6a14c936 arena: '@lane' arm alias for cross-model runs on a separate subscription (Claude sub exhausted; GPT-5.4 lane live, own data file)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-15 11:29:46 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 1845e6d4c8 arena: WASP adapter design -- deterministic injection-refusal scoring (their ASR classifier excluded)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-15 09:14:08 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 1bb3b0810a arena: v35 readonly-picker fallback (unit-verified 1.0 without a model) -- pre-registered for lane return
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-15 08:42:14 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 e6ecb83744 arena: bound 429 backoff to fit the step watchdog (flat 12s; unbounded waits booked as step_hang)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 22:23:30 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 61af236e2a arena: router wraps 429s in 200 bodies -- unwrap so the rate-limit backoff branch fires
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 21:51:56 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 857a5185f9 arena: rate-limit-aware LLM backoff (20-100s on 429s, 5 attempts) -- TPM windows outwaited, not booked as infra
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 21:51:41 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 4b76028e90 arena: final-step answer turn -- Q&A goals get told the budget is up so they answer via chat (1/17 chore episodes had answered)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 18:13:13 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 442f2e75ee arena: CompWoB champion v34 = 81.1% (delta rerun confirms flips)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 16:08:25 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 02347b20cf arena: MiniWoB 3-seed on v32 stack = 89.0 (fix validated on social-media; readonly-picker named); net stack ledger booked
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 15:34:46 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 fa3a0fdae3 arena: v34 verdict -- named 1-step losses flipped as predicted; v34 champion config
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 13:29:05 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 4cdda1ccc0 arena: v33 verdict (fastpath is the reverse-task killer) + v34 inversion gate (pre-registered)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 12:57:30 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 95fdc5fb1d arena: MiniWoB regression root-caused -- structural ctx labels displaced discriminating card text; uniqueness post-pass (labels must separate twins) + weak-name sibling filter
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 12:25:24 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 7985f741c7 arena: v33 opportunistic ordering (deferral doctrine + defer-nudge), pre-registered vs the 12-task bu-win cluster
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 10:45:58 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 8781b8079a arena: 2026 benchmark roadmap (REAL added; exclusions reasoned)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 10:16:45 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 0993fd5d9f arena: CompWoB FINAL v32 = 77.9% (>=75 goal clause MET; was 65.3) + head-to-head vs browser-use + v33 staging
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 10:14:26 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 aee265abfe arena: v32 verdict -- first >=5-part win ever; CompWoB mechanism ladder closed at the page-validator boundary
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 07:38:19 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 82b02317fe arena: v31 rerun verdict (model won't self-remediate occlusion) + v32 forced dispatch on blocked clicks (pre-registered)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 06:34:45 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 eeb62798a9 arena: v31 first run void -- blocker message truncated + stale bbox + empty-completion retries; all fixed and verified
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 06:02:37 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 b2c0d2be08 arena: v30 verdict (trap wrapper rows) + v31 wrapper suppression (pre-registered) + raw-reply capture
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 05:28:33 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 e87fd7545b arena: book v29 verdict + v30 pre-registration text
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 04:54:58 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 7f10e100a9 arena: v29 verdict (controls clean, targets 0/8 -- model now picks RIGHT element, click blocked by overlay) + v30 blocked-click intelligence (pre-registered)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 04:54:30 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 60318f2c1f arena: WebChoreArena reddit partition (deterministic evals, their max_steps=50)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 04:20:19 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 2aade59eb5 arena: v29 discriminative row context (DOM group labels + sibling groups) -- pre-registered pilot
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 04:19:52 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 6328e78772 arena: root cause of long-composition losses -- perception blindness (identical row contexts), not reasoning
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 03:42:10 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 bf3b78fecc arena: v28 verdict (fail; both loop-diff halves dead) + StepRecord.target instrumentation
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 03:38:01 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 331fc738d9 arena: webchorearena routing (isolated chore-venv, their evaluator; canary green)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 03:05:24 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 3eac8e8bcd arena: v27 verdict (fail, harmful; plan-state scaffolds 0-for-2) + v28 per-step self-eval (pre-registered)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 02:59:17 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 bf39eaf3f6 arena: WebArena paired final -- both stacks 0 strict on hard partition; ours leads partials 3.3x, speed 1.9x, tokens 10x, honesty 0 vs 49 false claims
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-14 02:26:38 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 03e062d059 arena: v27 fix -- CLAUSE marker moves AFTER the action line (was colliding with action-first replies, empty actions)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 23:29:52 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 1a61bfc50e arena: v27 active sub-goal ledger (pre-registered pilot) -- focused current-clause anchor, gated >=3 clauses
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 23:18:07 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 88291d1930 arena: v26 pilot verdict -- prediction failed (0/8 targets, controls clean); stale-plan hypothesis disconfirmed
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 23:12:36 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 aa5a19e51d arena: v26 serial_multi -- queued actions re-resolve targets per-observation (pre-registered pilot)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 22:41:10 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 b3d69cdd0f arena: WebArena-ours final (0 strict, 6 partials) + strict-field fix and written correction
The 6 'strict wins' previously reported were fractional checkpoint credits (5x0.667, 1x0.5)
mislabeled by the MiniWoB success predicate (reward>0). ARENA.md books the correction;
EpisodeRecord now carries an explicit strict bit so the conflation is unrepresentable.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 22:06:19 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 60e6e77880 arena: bu_real route for webarena_verified ids
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 19:25:26 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 d5792f4d65 arena: seeded 100-task reddit+gitlab WebArena Verified partition (seed 42, universe 304) — same list for both stacks
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 17:17:41 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 35a2c1cdde arena: runner route for webarena_verified dotted ids with WA_* defaults
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 16:12:38 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 be39237e4a arena: v25 pilot -- prediction failed, booked no-effect; pilot discipline paid for itself
Single-step turns + full compressed history did not move one long-composition target
(controls unharmed). The 20-minute pilot killed the hypothesis before a 2-hour sweep
could -- exactly what the post-v24 rules were for. Next hypothesis, pre-registered:
inter-section settle pacing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ac/code
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 15:40:58 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 0f188bb168 arena: CompWoB final -- browser-use wins 82.0 to 65.3, and the reasons are now our roadmap
Full-coverage fair pair after two harness retractions: their patient per-step
eval/memory loop owns long compositions (5-7-part 4/6 vs our 0/8) at 48s/8-false-claims
cost against our 17s/0. v25 ingests the mechanism pre-registered and gated (single-step
turns + compressed full history on >=4-clause goals only); pilot with controls running
per the new discipline.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 15:09:08 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 cf3cc50919 arena: the '73 crashed pages' were MY supervisor's head-of-line blocking -- full retraction chain
Ground truth: one CompWoB page (enter-text-second family) is broken upstream (clears
an input before creating it); isolate mode took remaining[:1] every round, so the
supervisor retried that one impossible page 201 straight times and 72 healthy tasks
starved unseen behind it. browser-use never received them. Supervisor now rotates
through remaining tasks and blacklists any that fail setup three times; their fair
completion run is live. Score one more for verify-the-verifier: both prior narratives
about their CompWoB failures were wrong, and the record now says so.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 13:03:10 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 8e37f997be arena: RETRACT the browser-use CompWoB crash claim -- it was a page-load race, not their code
Symmetric audit: the composed pages' own genProblem loses an asset race and crashes
reset -- 1/101 times on our launch path, 73/101 on the CDP-port path, same pages,
same seed. Blaming their instrumentation was wrong and is withdrawn; both harness
paths now retry the reset (same courtesy both ways) and their CompWoB completion
sweep is rerunning for a genuine full-coverage number.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 11:42:59 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 52e846a4ce arena: WebArena hosting pivots to colima -- headless docker that actually works here
Docker Desktop proved uninitializable without GUI on this box (three engine rebuilds,
factory reset included); colima on macOS's Virtualization.framework started first try
and swallowed the 131GB of site images Docker Desktop could not load. Bring-up script
now targets the colima socket; shopping/admin/forum booting while gitlab downloads.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 08:14:58 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 8c2ff907b7 arena: v24 checklist is a negative result -- long chains are invariant under prompt scaffolds
60.4% (-5): short tasks paid for the scaffolding, >=5-part stayed 0/8 through a third
mechanism. The cluster's invariance across runway/ordering/checklist localizes the
real need -- mid-episode replanning against current page state -- product-primitive
territory, same frontier as MiniWoB's hard-10. Champion for CompWoB remains v22/v23
at 65.3.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 03:59:41 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 22e18c239a arena: v24 -- the clause checklist, bookkeeping scaffolding for long instructions
Long-chain traces showed clean execution collapsing into scroll-flailing once the
agent lost its place. The goal is decomposed once into numbered clauses, rendered
every turn with the model's own last-reported position echoed back; content-agnostic
scaffolding, no task knowledge. Sweeping CompWoB against the 65.3 baseline.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 02:57:35 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 f68d20589e arena: compwob follow-ups -- their 73-page crash ceiling, our ordering fix verified, the bookkeeping disease named
browser-use cannot load 73 of 101 composed pages (instrumentation crash: 28-task
coverage ceiling, 2 more false claims on what loads). Our ordering fix won its exact
predicted tasks; long-chain traces isolate the true frontier as lost mid-chain
bookkeeping, to be attacked with a rendered clause checklist (v24).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 01:55:11 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 a034a78366 arena: toolchain moved out of /tmp -- the OS reaper was eating the venv file by file
macOS silently deletes /tmp files by age: pyvenv.cfg vanished mid-sweep and 84 spawns
died import-less while site-packages survived -- the exact silent-error class the goal
names. Venv, serving trees and compwob discovery now live in ~/.cache/arena (durable);
servers rebound; registration re-verified (101). Episode data was never at risk: the
book lives in the repo.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-13 00:51:27 -07:00
ciregenzandClaude Fable 5 10fae6ea34 arena: fastpath respects instruction order -- skipping ahead was an instant loss
CompWoB's simple-pair autopsy: with "Ok" ambiguous, the fastpath clicked the SECOND
quoted target first, and order-enforcing pages fail terminally on that. It now acts
only on the first unsatisfied quoted target and otherwise defers to the model --
sequence is part of the task, structurally respected. Lands in v23's queued sweep.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WsbS5x2rYsMDxP2kW3qqmQ
2026-08-12 22:35:47 -07:00